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A Bayesian Methodology for Systemic Risk Assessment in Financial Networks(3)
时间 2021-01-03
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4. 抽样 如何使用MCMC算法(更准确地说,吉布斯采样器)从负债矩阵的条件分布中采样,给定其行和列和 ( l , a ) (l,a) (l,a)和已知元素。然后,这些样本可以插入到感兴趣的函数中,以便进行系统风险评估,例如,计算出违约银行数量的分布情况或一家特定的银行违约的概率。 在扩展层次模型的方法之前,考虑基本模型。 除了采样器的理论推导外,还在在线支持文件第一节中提供了模拟研究,表明采样器
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